A 25 %crit
La suite d'orages apporte statistiquement
1.92 %crit
=> 42.47 au score de coup critique.
Simulation sur 1000000 coups :
269285 crits (26.93%crit)
=> gain de 42.56sc crit)
Algorithme de calcul statistique :
%crit_orage = 25%;
nb_buffs_orage = 0;
somme_buffs_orage = 0;
proba_suite = 100%;
somme_gains = 0;
somme_poids = 0;
TANT QUE %crit_orage <= 100%
- proba_suite_stop = proba_suite x %crit_orage;
- proba_suite = proba_suite x (100% - %crit_orage);
- somme_buffs_orage += nb_buffs_orage x 17/22.07;
- gain_sequence = somme_buff_orage x proba_suite_stop;
- poids_sequence = (nb_buffs_orage+1)x proba_suite_stop;
- somme_gains += gain_sequence;
- somme_poids += poids_sequence;
- gain_moyen = somme_gains / somme_poids;
- nb_buffs_orage += 1;
- SI %crit_orage != 100% ET %crit_orage + 17/22.07 > 100%
- - %crit_orage = 100%
- SINON
- - %crit_orage += 17/22.07;
UNE FOIS QUE %crit_orage = 100%
- on retourne gain_moyen
Algorithme de simulation/vérification :
%crit_orage = 25%;
PENDANT 1 000 000 coups :
- aleatoire = rand(1,10 000);
- SI aleatoire <= %crit_orage x 100
- - alors nb_crit = nb_crit + 1;
- - et %crit_orage = 25%;
- SINON
- - %crit_orage = %crit_orage + 17/22.07;
APRES 1 000 000 coups :
- on retourne nb_crit / 1 000 000
| Suite uncrit |
%Crit final |
%Gain total |
%Gain moyen suite |
%Proba | Somme %Proba |
%Proba x %Gain |
Somme Gain |
%Proba x nb coups |
Moyenne nb coups |
Gain moyen |
-> score crit moyen? |
| 0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0% | 0 sc |
| 1 | 25.77% | 0.77% | 0.39% | 19.3277% | 44.3277% | 0.1489% | 0.15% | 0.39 | 0.64 | 0.23% | 5.16 sc |
| 2 | 26.54% | 2.31% | 0.77% | 14.7757% | 59.1034% | 0.3414% | 0.49% | 0.44 | 1.08 | 0.45% | 10.02 sc |
| 3 | 27.31% | 4.62% | 1.16% | 11.1692% | 70.2726% | 0.5162% | 1.01% | 0.45 | 1.53 | 0.66% | 14.55 sc |
| 4 | 28.08% | 7.7% | 1.54% | 8.3478% | 78.6204% | 0.643% | 1.65% | 0.42 | 1.94 | 0.85% | 18.73 sc |
| 5 | 28.85% | 11.55% | 1.93% | 6.1683% | 84.7887% | 0.7127% | 2.36% | 0.37 | 2.31 | 1.02% | 22.53 sc |
| 6 | 29.62% | 16.18% | 2.31% | 4.5058% | 89.2945% | 0.7289% | 3.09% | 0.32 | 2.63 | 1.18% | 25.94 sc |
| 7 | 30.39% | 21.57% | 2.7% | 3.2536% | 92.5481% | 0.7017% | 3.79% | 0.26 | 2.89 | 1.31% | 28.97 sc |
| 8 | 31.16% | 27.73% | 3.08% | 2.3222% | 94.8703% | 0.6439% | 4.44% | 0.21 | 3.1 | 1.43% | 31.6 sc |
| 9 | 31.93% | 34.66% | 3.47% | 1.638% | 96.5083% | 0.5678% | 5% | 0.16 | 3.26 | 1.53% | 33.85 sc |
| 10 | 32.7% | 42.37% | 3.85% | 1.1419% | 97.6502% | 0.4838% | 5.49% | 0.13 | 3.39 | 1.62% | 35.75 sc |
| 11 | 33.47% | 50.84% | 4.24% | 0.7865% | 98.4368% | 0.3999% | 5.89% | 0.09 | 3.48 | 1.69% | 37.31 sc |
| 12 | 34.24% | 60.08% | 4.62% | 0.5353% | 98.9721% | 0.3216% | 6.21% | 0.07 | 3.55 | 1.75% | 38.58 sc |
| 13 | 35.01% | 70.1% | 5.01% | 0.3599% | 99.332% | 0.2523% | 6.46% | 0.05 | 3.6 | 1.79% | 39.59 sc |
| 14 | 35.78% | 80.88% | 5.39% | 0.239% | 99.571% | 0.1933% | 6.66% | 0.04 | 3.64 | 1.83% | 40.37 sc |
| 15 | 36.55% | 92.43% | 5.78% | 0.1568% | 99.7278% | 0.1449% | 6.8% | 0.03 | 3.66 | 1.86% | 40.97 sc |
| 16 | 37.32% | 104.76% | 6.16% | 0.1016% | 99.8294% | 0.1064% | 6.91% | 0.02 | 3.68 | 1.88% | 41.41 sc |
| 17 | 38.09% | 117.85% | 6.55% | 0.065% | 99.8944% | 0.0766% | 6.98% | 0.01 | 3.69 | 1.89% | 41.74 sc |
| 18 | 38.86% | 131.72% | 6.93% | 0.041% | 99.9354% | 0.0541% | 7.04% | 0.01 | 3.7 | 1.9% | 41.97 sc |
| 19 | 39.64% | 146.35% | 7.32% | 0.0256% | 99.961% | 0.0374% | 7.07% | 0.01 | 3.71 | 1.91% | 42.14 sc |
| 20 | 40.41% | 161.76% | 7.7% | 0.0157% | 99.9768% | 0.0255% | 7.1% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.91% | 42.25 sc |
| 21 | 41.18% | 177.93% | 8.09% | 0.0096% | 99.9863% | 0.017% | 7.12% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.33 sc |
| 22 | 41.95% | 194.88% | 8.47% | 0.0057% | 99.9921% | 0.0112% | 7.13% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.38 sc |
| 23 | 42.72% | 212.6% | 8.86% | 0.0034% | 99.9955% | 0.0072% | 7.14% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.42 sc |
| 24 | 43.49% | 231.08% | 9.24% | 0.002% | 99.9974% | 0.0046% | 7.14% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.44 sc |
| 25 | 44.26% | 250.34% | 9.63% | 0.0011% | 99.9986% | 0.0028% | 7.14% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.45 sc |
| 26 | 45.03% | 270.37% | 10.01% | 0.0006% | 99.9992% | 0.0017% | 7.14% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.46 sc |
| 27 | 45.8% | 291.16% | 10.4% | 0.0004% | 99.9996% | 0.001% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.46 sc |
| 28 | 46.57% | 312.73% | 10.78% | 0.0002% | 99.9998% | 0.0006% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 29 | 47.34% | 335.07% | 11.17% | 0.0001% | 99.9999% | 0.0004% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 30 | 48.11% | 358.18% | 11.55% | 0.0001% | 99.9999% | 0.0002% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 31 | 48.88% | 382.06% | 11.94% | 0% | 100% | 0.0001% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 32 | 49.65% | 406.71% | 12.32% | 0% | 100% | 0.0001% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 33 | 50.42% | 432.13% | 12.71% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 34 | 51.19% | 458.31% | 13.09% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 35 | 51.96% | 485.27% | 13.48% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 36 | 52.73% | 513% | 13.86% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 37 | 53.5% | 541.5% | 14.25% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 38 | 54.27% | 570.77% | 14.64% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 39 | 55.04% | 600.82% | 15.02% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 40 | 55.81% | 631.63% | 15.41% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 41 | 56.58% | 663.21% | 15.79% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 42 | 57.35% | 695.56% | 16.18% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 43 | 58.12% | 728.68% | 16.56% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 44 | 58.89% | 762.57% | 16.95% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 45 | 59.66% | 797.24% | 17.33% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 46 | 60.43% | 832.67% | 17.72% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 47 | 61.2% | 868.87% | 18.1% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 48 | 61.97% | 905.85% | 18.49% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 49 | 62.74% | 943.59% | 18.87% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 50 | 63.51% | 982.1% | 19.26% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 51 | 64.28% | 1021.39% | 19.64% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 52 | 65.05% | 1061.44% | 20.03% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 53 | 65.82% | 1102.27% | 20.41% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 54 | 66.59% | 1143.86% | 20.8% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 55 | 67.37% | 1186.23% | 21.18% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 56 | 68.14% | 1229.36% | 21.57% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 57 | 68.91% | 1273.27% | 21.95% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 58 | 69.68% | 1317.94% | 22.34% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 59 | 70.45% | 1363.39% | 22.72% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 60 | 71.22% | 1409.61% | 23.11% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 61 | 71.99% | 1456.59% | 23.49% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 62 | 72.76% | 1504.35% | 23.88% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 63 | 73.53% | 1552.88% | 24.26% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 64 | 74.3% | 1602.17% | 24.65% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 65 | 75.07% | 1652.24% | 25.03% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 66 | 75.84% | 1703.08% | 25.42% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 67 | 76.61% | 1754.69% | 25.8% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 68 | 77.38% | 1807.07% | 26.19% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 69 | 78.15% | 1860.22% | 26.57% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 70 | 78.92% | 1914.14% | 26.96% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 71 | 79.69% | 1968.83% | 27.34% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 72 | 80.46% | 2024.29% | 27.73% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 73 | 81.23% | 2080.52% | 28.12% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 74 | 82% | 2137.52% | 28.5% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 75 | 82.77% | 2195.29% | 28.89% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 76 | 83.54% | 2253.83% | 29.27% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 77 | 84.31% | 2313.14% | 29.66% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 78 | 85.08% | 2373.22% | 30.04% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 79 | 85.85% | 2434.07% | 30.43% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 80 | 86.62% | 2495.7% | 30.81% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 81 | 87.39% | 2558.09% | 31.2% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 82 | 88.16% | 2621.25% | 31.58% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 83 | 88.93% | 2685.18% | 31.97% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 84 | 89.7% | 2749.89% | 32.35% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 85 | 90.47% | 2815.36% | 32.74% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 86 | 91.24% | 2881.6% | 33.12% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 87 | 92.01% | 2948.62% | 33.51% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 88 | 92.78% | 3016.4% | 33.89% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 89 | 93.55% | 3084.96% | 34.28% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 90 | 94.32% | 3154.28% | 34.66% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 91 | 95.1% | 3224.38% | 35.05% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 92 | 95.87% | 3295.24% | 35.43% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 93 | 96.64% | 3366.88% | 35.82% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 94 | 97.41% | 3439.28% | 36.2% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 95 | 98.18% | 3512.46% | 36.59% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 96 | 98.95% | 3586.41% | 36.97% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 97 | 99.72% | 3661.12% | 37.36% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |
| 98 | 100% | 3736.12% | 37.74% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 7.15% | 0 | 3.71 | 1.92% | 42.47 sc |